Data analysts on World Divorce Rates: Ranking of countries from highest to lowest risk of getting divorced

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  • World’s highest divorce rate: Portugal with 92% of all marriages ending in divorce.
  • India has the lowest divorce rate. Only 1% of marriages end in divorce.
  • The United States ranks 19th of 100 countries most likely to get divorced. Canada ranks 24th.

London, United Kingdom, April 2023 – Recent economic challenges, as well as the Covid pandemic in particular, have become an ultimate challenge for couples worldwide, which is evident in the rising divorce rates. In light of this, data analysts at casinoalpha.com have researched worldwide divorce statistics from official sources from 100 countries worldwide in order to rank the likelihood of getting divorced in the next twelve months.

 

Map: World Divorce Rates. The odds of getting divorced. Full image and results available at casinoalpha.com/what-are-the-odds/the-odds-of-getting-divorced

 

 

Russian citizens are most likely to get divorced in the next year

 

Russia ranks first with the highest divorce rate worldwide, likely as a result of economic instability in recent decades that have put significant stress on marriages. Based on the newest data on population and the number of divorces, this study predicts that 1 in 172 people in Russia will file for divorce this year and officially end their marriage. The divorce rate in Russia is 74%, meaning that more than three-quarters of all marriages end in a breakup.

 

A high risk of ending in divorce is also shown by couples in Belarus, Moldova, Kazakhstan and China.

 

The world’s highest divorce rates can be found in Portugal and Spain

 

When it comes to separation, married couples in Canada show higher divorce rates than American couples. 48% of all marriages end in a divorce in Canada, compared to 45% in the US. By far the world’s highest divorce rates can be found in Portugal, where 92% of all marriages end in a breakup, and Spain, with a divorce rate of 86%.

 

India with lowest divorce rates in worldwide comparison

 

Traditionally, India has low divorce rates, with only around 1% of marriages ending in divorce. Marriage is highly valued in Indian culture, and divorce has historically been stigmatised. This has created a strong social pressure to maintain the marriage, even in the face of difficulties.

 

A low risk of ending in divorce is also shown by couples in Vietnam, Guatemala, Malta and Peru.

 

International Rank

Country

Adults affected by divorce in the next 12 months

National Divorce Rate

International Rank

Country

Adults affected by divorce in the next 12 months

National Divorce Rate

1

Russia

1 in 172

74 %

51

Spain

1 in 413

86 %

2

Belarus

1 in 178

45 %

52

Turkey

1 in 425

25 %

3

Moldova

1 in 203

42 %

53

Tajikistan

1 in 429

10 %

4

Kazakhstan

1 in 210

34 %

55

Hungary

1 in 433

22 %

5

China

1 in 223

44 %

54

New Zealand

1 in 433

42 %

6

Ukraine

1 in 233

71 %

56

Singapore

1 in 435

28 %

7

Latvia

1 in 233

49 %

57

Kyrgyzstan

1 in 436

16 %

9

Lithuania

1 in 237

49 %

58

Mauritius

1 in 444

17 %

8

Denmark

1 in 237

55 %

59

Albania

1 in 447

21 %

10

Cuba

1 in 238

56 %

61

Suriname

1 in 471

31 %

11

Costa Rica

1 in 246

47 %

60

Poland

1 in 471

36 %

12

Sweden

1 in 248

68 %

62

Syria

1 in 477

12 %

14

San Marino

1 in 258

41 %

63

Tonga

1 in 492

17 %

13

Liechtenstein

1 in 258

48 %

64

Croatia

1 in 492

34 %

15

Finland

1 in 258

61 %

65

Bulgaria

1 in 492

41 %

16

Libya

1 in 264

23 %

66

Azerbaijan

1 in 493

15 %

17

Cyprus

1 in 269

29 %

67

Serbia

1 in 500

27 %

18

Egypt

1 in 270

17 %

68

Brazil

1 in 500

21 %

19

United States

1 in 283

45 %

69

Thailand

1 in 500

25 %

20

Luxembourg

1 in 300

80 %

70

Montenegro

1 in 508

26 %

21

Monaco

1 in 300

n/a

71

Romania

1 in 542

28 %

22

Georgia

1 in 305

19 %

72

Dominican Republic

1 in 542

41 %

23

Chile

1 in 314

21 %

73

Italy

1 in 582

69 %

24

Canada

1 in 314

48 %

74

Ecuador

1 in 600

20 %

25

Czech Republic

1 in 320

48 %

75

Grenada

1 in 600

22 %

26

France

1 in 321

55 %

76

Jamaica

1 in 600

20 %

27

Iran

1 in 329

14 %

77

Armenia

1 in 609

17 %

28

Estonia

1 in 332

42 %

78

Mongolia

1 in 630

32 %

29

Israel

1 in 333

28 %

79

Dominica

1 in 710

n/a

31

Saudi Arabia

1 in 338

38 %

80

The Bahamas

1 in 720

16 %

30

South Korea

1 in 338

47 %

81

Uruguay

1 in 722

n/a

33

Bermuda

1 in 342

25 %

82

Slovenia

1 in 800

34 %

32

Australia

1 in 342

43 %

83

Uzbekistan

1 in 813

14 %

35

Iceland

1 in 347

37 %

84

Nicaragua

1 in 813

18 %

34

Switzerland

1 in 347

46 %

85

El Salvador

1 in 825

23 %

36

Greece

1 in 350

38 %

86

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1 in 838

13 %

37

Belgium

1 in 356

51 %

87

North Macedonia

1 in 863

n/a

38

Norway

1 in 361

56 %

88

Venezuela

1 in 900

36 %

39

Japan

1 in 363

35 %

89

Ireland

1 in 929

16 %

40

United Kingdom

1 in 371

41 %

90

Panama

1 in 929

27 %

42

Germany

1 in 376

36 %

91

Mexico

1 in 957

17 %

41

Portugal

1 in 376

92 %

92

Colombia

1 in 1,000

30 %

43

Netherlands

1 in 382

58 %

93

South Africa

1 in 1,083

17 %

44

Austria

1 in 388

35 %

94

United Arab Emirates

1 in 1,186

25 %

45

Malaysia

1 in 389

25 %

95

Qatar

1 in 1,186

33 %

46

Algeria

1 in 394

16 %

96

Peru

1 in 1,300

n/a

47

Lebanon

1 in 394

17 %

97

Malta

1 in 1,360

23 %

48

Slovakia

1 in 394

35 %

98

Guatemala

1 in 3,100

32 %

49

Jordan

1 in 400

27 %

99

Vietnam

1 in 3,450

7 %

50

Seychelles

1 in 406

11 %

100

India

1 in 52,308

1 %

 

More findings:

 

        The US ranks 19th out of 100 countries with the highest divorce rate worldwide. The median cost of a divorce in the US is US$7,500. 45% of all marriages in the US end in divorce.
 

        When it comes to separation, married couples in New Zealand show slightly higher divorce rates than Australian couples. 42% of all marriages end in a divorce in New Zealand, compared to 41% in Australia.
 

        42% of all marriages in New Zealand end in divorce. Based on the newest data on population and the number of divorces, this study predicts that 1 in 433 New zealand citizens will file for divorce in the upcoming year and officially end their marriage. New Zealand ranks 54th out of 100 countries with the highest divorce rate worldwide. A contested divorce in in New Zealand cost between NZ$5,000 and NZ$10,000.

 

        Canada ranks 24th out of 100 countries with the highest divorce rate worldwide. The average cost of a contested divorce in Canada is CAN$12,875. 48% of all marriages end in a divorce in the United Kingdom.
 

        Data analysts have projected that 1 in 371 Britons will file for divorce in the upcoming twelve months, ranking the UK 40th out of the 100 nationalities that are most likely to get divorced. 41% of all marriages end in a divorce in the United Kingdom.

 

Sources

Only particularly credible statistical data from trustworthy sources were selected. These sources include Eurostat of the European Union, the official database of the OECD and the Statistics Department of the World Bank.
 

For more information about the study, methodology and sources please visit casinoalpha.com/what-are-the-odds/the-odds-of-getting-divorced

 

Media contact

ABCD Agency
Christian Merz
christian@abcd.agency

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