ARIMA KINEN 2024 ODDS BREAKDOWN: DO DEUCE HOLDS 50% PROBABILITY OF WINNING
Do Duce leads in the winning probabilities for the Arima Kinen 2024, Japan's most prestigious horse race.
18 December 2024 – As excitement builds for the 2024 Arima Kinen, Japan's most prestigious horse racing event, fans and punters are eager to dissect the odds and forecast the outcomes of this exciting competition. Scheduled to take place on 22nd December 2024 at Nakayama Racecourse, the Arima Kinen promises to deliver nail-biting action, with a formidable lineup of contenders. To provide Arima Kinen fans with practical insights backed by data, We, at BettingGuide, have collected odds and analysed the winning probability of horses.
Current Probabilities Overview
As of 18 December 2024, some international bookmakers like bet365 and 1xBet have already published the Arima Kinen odds for 2024. Leading the charge is Do Deuce, hailed as the overwhelming favourite with odds of 2.00, translating to a probability of approximately 50% to secure victory. Its impressive track record and recent performances have positioned it as the horse to beat in this year's race.
Following closely are Urban Chic and Prognosis, offered at 7.00 and 8.00 odds, respectively. This indicates a 14.29% chance for Urban Chic and a 12.50% chance for Prognosis. Both horses have shown consistent form in recent competitions, making them strong contenders worthy of attention.
Other noteworthy competitors include Justin Palace, Danon Decile, and Stunning Rose, all listed at 13.00 odds, reflecting a 7.69% probability of winning. While they may not enjoy the same level of expectation as Do Deuce, their competitive histories certainly suggest they could stage an upset.
The remaining field includes horses like Regaleira (15.00 odds, 6.67% chance), Rousham Park (17.00 odds, 5.88% chance), and Shahryar (21.00 odds, 4.76% chance). These horses could provide intriguing options for those willing to bet on potential dark horses.
Odds and Probabilities List
Below, we have collected the odds and probabilities dated 18 December 2024.
| Horses | Odds | Probabilities |
| Do Deuce | 2 | 50.00% |
| Urban Chic | 7 | 14.29% |
| Prognosis | 8 | 12.50% |
| Justin Palace | 13 | 7.69% |
| Danon Decile | 13 | 7.69% |
| Stunning Rose | 13 | 7.69% |
| Regaleira | 15 | 6.67% |
| Rousham Park | 17 | 5.88% |
| Shahryar | 21 | 4.76% |
| Stars On Earth | 23 | 4.35% |
| Ho O Biscuits | 26 | 3.85% |
| Bellagio Opera | 26 | 3.85% |
| Shonan La Punta | 34 | 2.94% |
| Danon Beluga | 51 | 1.96% |
| Meisho Tabaru | 51 | 1.96% |
| Arata | 51 | 1.96% |
| Struve | 51 | 1.96% |
| Blow The Horn | 67 | 1.49% |
| Hayayakko | 67 | 1.49% |
| Nishino Revenant | 101 | 0.99% |
| Karate | 101 | 0.99% |
| Deep Bond | 101 | 0.99% |
Odds are subject to change, and so are probabilities. Check the bookmaker sites for the most up-to-date odds information.
Arima Kinen Winner Prediction Explained
The 2024 Arima Kinen is shaping up to be a historic event in Japanese horse racing. With a mix of seasoned champions and promising newcomers, the race is sure to be thrilling. As we draw closer to race day, we encourage fans and bettors to engage with their favourite horses and prepare for an unforgettable showdown. While Do Deuce shows an unparalleled chance of winning, we still have a few days until the race.
The probability calculation is explained on this page (https://bettingguide.com/jp/press-release/arima-kinen-winner-predictions-based-on-bookmaker-odds-2024-12-18/) in Japanese.
Mizuki Ikeda
Editor at BettingGuide
mizuki@bettingguide.com
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