China's defence exports stay strong despite dip in 2020, Janes data shows

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China's military exports increased during 2016–19 but declined slightly in 2020 amid the Covid-19 pandemic, Janes data shows. Jon Grevatt, Principal for Asia-Pacific Defence Industry at Janes explores how emerging markets remain China‘s key customers, while naval ships and radars are show strongest growth in recent years...

LONDON (19 July 2021) - Newly compiled Janes data shows China's defence exports declined mildly in 2020, interrupting a period of solid growth since 2016. According to the data from the trusted global agency for open-source defence intelligence, China's international military sales in 2020 were equal to USD2.65 billion, a 4% decline on the figure in 2019.The decrease can almost certainly be attributed to the Covid-19 pandemic and resulting challenges related to marketing, production, supply chains, and logistics.The value of China's defence exports between 2016 and 2019 increased on average by 11% per year, growing from USD2.34 billion to USD2.76 billion.Looking further back, larger increases were evident. According to Janes data, China's exports in 2012 were valued at USD1.35 billion and then grew by 80% to USD2.43 billion in 2014 before two years of declines and a subsequent resumption of growth.

Janes data suggests China's exports will tail off in the early 2020s without new orders.

In terms of capability segments, the data suggests that the most valuable capability segments for China in the past five years have been naval ships (with a combined value of USD4.45 billion), military ground vehicles (USD3 billion), radars (USD1.50 billion), and missiles (USD950 million).

Naval ships and radars have been the quickest-growing segments, with expansion in both recorded in the past five years at about 140%. The value of unmanned aerial vehicles and sonars has more than doubled since 2016, although from a low base.

However, the value of deliveries of Chinese military aircraft has been relatively low. The average yearly value of deliveries in this segment has been less than USD140 million since 2016, although it climbed to USD170 million in 2020. This contrasts with a peak of military aircraft deliveries of nearly USD400 million in 2011.

Janes data also shows that China's defence export customers are predominately emerging markets in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Thailand account for 38%, 17%, and 7% of all exports respectively in the past decade. Algeria and Morocco account for 12% and 5%, while other major customers include Egypt, Indonesia, Kuwait, Malaysia, Nigeria, and Saudi Arabia.

News media contact: Freya Lewis | | +44 (0) 20 3997 6595

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