Retail the only sector to fall in November

The Economic Tendency Indicator climbed for a third successive month, from 106.2 in October to 107.9 in November, pointing to optimism in the economy. The manufacturing, construction and service indicators all rose, while only the retail indicator fell. Consumer confidence in the economy improved further, and consumers are more positive about their personal finances than for more than nine years.

Manufacturers’ production plans have been revised up further and point to much stronger growth in production than normal in the coming months. Expectations for production volumes have not been higher since May 2011.

The building and civil engineering industry reports strong employment growth in recent months, although it has slowed slightly. At the same time, a high proportion of firms continue to cite labour shortages as the main factor limiting production.

Retailers report slightly weaker sales growth than normal, but are still relatively upbeat about the current sales situation. Expectations for sales in the coming months remain optimistic.

The service sector reports increased demand in recent months and further improvements in its order books. Expectations for demand over the next three months are optimistic, and recruitment plans point to increased employment.

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