WILL Q2 PRICE RISES HURT THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR EVEN MORE?

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Just as some of the first signs of economic recovery are starting to shine through, the UK’s manufacturers are facing significant energy price rises, according to the latest findings from BDO Stoy Hayward’s Quarterly Manufacturing Energy Tracker. During the second quarter of 2009, oil prices rose by 31 per cent in comparison to the previous quarter – an average of $61.35 a barrel compared to $46.74 in Q1. Without taking into account demand and supply models for energy prices, manufacturers will be faced with further energy price rises of 17 per cent over the next 10 years as a result of the Government’s plans to reduce Carbon Dioxide emissions. Robin Lloyd, Head of Manufacturing at BDO Stoy Hayward in Southampton says: “As manufacturing output* has risen for four consecutive months now, the last thing manufacturers need is a rise in their energy costs. All energy price rises will do is hamper manufacturers’ chances of success in this tough environment.” “Manufacturers need to focus on how they make the best use of their energy and start looking towards more efficient/greener energy options in the future – particularly in light of the announcement over the Government’s White Paper on renewable energy,” continues Lloyd. “One small mercy is that oil prices are still some 52 per cent cheaper than this time last year when oil prices reached an all time average high of $128.19 a barrel,” says Lloyd. Not all doom and gloom Whilst oil and jet fuel has risen, it’s not all doom and gloom for the sector as both electricity and gas prices actually fell during Q2. Gas prices fell by 40 per cent and electricity prices fell by 23 per cent in comparison to Q1 2009. “Given the difficulties manufacturers have faced over the last six to 12 months, any fall in the price of energy will be a welcome relief to the sector,” concludes Lloyd. ENDS Words: 315 * Manufacturing output is based on business order books and short term output expectations. It has proven to be a strong predictor of economic growth over the next three months. For more information, or the graphs behind the data, please contact Dee Crooks at BDO Stoy Hayward on 020 7893 2761 / 07815 172 051 or email dee.crooks@bdo.co.uk

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