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  • New Comprehensive Study: Future Suppliers of Softwood Lumber to the US Market - Demand and Supply Outlook to 2030

New Comprehensive Study: Future Suppliers of Softwood Lumber to the US Market - Demand and Supply Outlook to 2030

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A multi-client study by ForestEdge LLC and Wood Resources International LLC will be released on March 16th 2018

The purpose of this study was to evaluate how future US demand for softwood lumber will be met as the supply dynamics of North America change and off-shore supply and production economics evolve over the next decade. 

The 215 page study covers:

I. Demand: Projected Demand for Softwood Lumber in the US for the period 2017-2030

Future lumber consumption is based on projections of housing starts, repair & remodeling expenditures and related softwood lumber consumption, and the evolution of other demand sectors.

II. Supply: Projected sources of softwood lumber Supply 2016-2030

Includes detailed profiles of key softwood lumber production regions including New Zealand, Chile, Brazil, Sweden, Eastern Canada, Western Canada, the US Northwest and the US South.

Mini-profiles, evaluating softwood timber resources, delivered log prices, lumber trade and softwood lumber export potential to the US market of Germany, Finland, Latvia, and Western Russia are also provided.

III. Supply Curve Analysis

The study constructs a US softwood lumber supply curve for 2016 using actual supply statistics and estimated delivered softwood lumber costs for the key supplying regions. The study then evaluates how supply could change under alternative Demand Scenarios, based on regional projections of log costs, softwood lumber production, and likely US exports, to identify the most likely suppliers to the US market in 2025 and 2030.

 IV.  Conclusions and Sensitivities

In addition to reporting results for various demand scenarios, the study considers sensitivities based on investment capital and exchange rates, and offers insight into the implications of the changing US softwood lumber market on timberland investments.

Please see the attached brochure for more information about the comprehensive study, including who will benefit from the analyses and the pricing options.

For more information about the contents of the report, or to order, please contact:  

Håkan Ekström at 1-425-402-8809 (hakan@woodprices.com), or

Robert Hagler at 1-703-838-3636 (robert@forestedgellc.com)

Wood Resources International LLC

Hakan Ekstrom

info@woodprices.com

www.woodprices.com

Wood Resources International LLC (WRI), an internationally recognized forest industry-consulting firm established in 1987, publishes two quarterly timber price reports and have subscribers in over 30 countries. The Wood Resource Quarterly, established in 1988, is a 52-page market report and includes sawlog prices, pulpwood and wood chip price and market commentary to developments in global timber, biomass and forest industry. The other report, the North Americam Wood Fiber Review, tracks prices of sawlogs, pulpwood, wood chips and biomass in most regions of Canada and the US. 

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Quick facts

WRI publishes the Wood Resource Quarterly, a market report, which includes global prices prices for lumber, sawlog, pulpwood, pellets and wood chip. The report, which has subscribers in over 30 countries, also covers the latest developments in international timber, pulp, lumber and biomass markets in all major regions of the world, including Asia, North America, South America, Oceania and Europe.
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Quotes

Changes in availability of timber resources and forecasted increases in wood raw-material costs for sawmills around the world are likely to impact the trade of softwood lumber to the US in the future.
Hakan Ekstrom