DNB Markets - Momentum hit pause
Softening macro has squeezed IT software spend and organic growth at IAR Systems and its peers. Short-term, we expect muted earnings momentum, but are optimistic for its SaaS launch in 2025e and note subscriptions represented 11% of net sales in 9M 2024, growing by 176% YOY. Having lowered our estimates, we reiterate our SEK160–240 fair value as we roll our valuation base to 2025e and see support from, among other things, further buybacks and recent insider activity.Q3 was light, with 1% organic sales growth YOY (we expected 11%) as recurring revenues (~50% of sales) showed healthy 10%