Investment Outlook: Normalisation after an abnormal year
In the spring of 2020, the focus of financial market attention was on economic crisis and low valuations. Today it is on stimulus measures, vaccines and a bright future, but also much higher market valuations. Among positive factors, we are seeing forecasts of a high global growth rate and earnings increases, stimulative monetary and fiscal policies as well as relative valuations of asset classes. Among negative factors are high absolute valuation levels, the often already aggressive positioning of investors and high total debt. “Last year’s sharp stock market recovery is reason for